An item is being circulated among the FCC Commissioners that, if ultimately adopted, would set an annual cap (subject to annual inflation adjustments) on the Universal Service Fund (“USF”). Currently there is an annual cap on three of the four USF programs. In addition to the Schools and Libraries program, known as “E-rate,” the other USF programs are High Cost, Lifeline, and Rural Health Care.
According to a recent blog post by Commissioner Michael O’Rielly, apparently the leading proponent for the proposal, the annual cap would be set at the total of the four programs’ current caps — currently $11.42 billion.
To put the proposed cap in context, it should be noted that although USF demand varies somewhat from quarter-to-quarter, annual USF funding requirements are currently running well under the proposed cap. As shown below, total annual USF requirements, based on quarterly fund projections over the past two and a half years, have averaged slightly less than $8 billion per year.

A key factor in this discussion, also shown in the table above, is the contribution factor. This factor represents the percentage of interstate telephone revenue that the telecommunications carriers are required to “contribute” into the USF fund each quarter. This contribution is passed on to telephone users as USF surcharges. As Commissioner O’Rielly notes in his blog, this contribution factor has been rising, recently reaching the 20% level. The increase can be attributed not only to increasing demand for USF funds, but to decreasing interstate telephone revenues.
Much like the concern of a rising sea level with the melting of the polar ice caps, there is a question of how high the contribution factor can go without requiring a major restructuring of the USF — an issue long debated at the FCC. Should the total demand for the USF programs reach the $11.42 billion dollar cap being discussed, with no change to today’s contribution base, we calculate that the contribution factor would rise to almost 28%. In the short-term, cap or no cap, we don’t see that happening. But it’s a legitimate longer-term concern.
From an E-rate perspective, capping the USF budget presents no immediate concern. As indicated in the FY 2019 summary above, total E-rate demand is well under the current $4.15 billion cap. Capping the total USF budget becomes an intermediate-term problem only to the extent that another USF program required additional funds and, rather than increase the total USF cap, the FCC chooses a rob-Peter-to-pay-Paul approach further constricting E-rate funds.
From a timing standpoint, the USF budgetary cap proposal is only being circulated within the Commission. It is not an item on the Commission’s April open meeting agenda. At the earliest — if ever — we might see the proposal surface as a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (“NPRM”) released for public comment in May. At that point, the E-rate community will likely have a vested interest in commenting.